Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle6.40 or greater 32.6%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète16 sept. 25, 00:26 UTC2 janv. 40, 01:26 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a bipedal robot break the human mile world record time?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?
Manifold MarketsWho will break the 5/5 stranglehold on Super Mario 64 speedrunning and collect the world record bounty?
Manifold MarketsVidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner
Kalshi2027 Pro Basketball Champion
KalshiRègles
Resolves to the highest record Duplantis sets in his career (i. e. only one answer resolves YES - not every level he clears).
- Resolves in 2040 OR, if he retires earlier than that, a year after the competition he declares to be his last one (to make room for him changing his mind about retiring).
- Indoor as well as outdoor competitions count.
- Must be ratified by whichever organisation is responsible for recognizing official athletics records at the time.