Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète31 juil. 26, 10:13 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console?
Manifold MarketsRihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
PolymarketRihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Rihanna release a new original album in 2026?
FutuurTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to YES if Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) is officially released to the public before Rihanna releases her next album.
- GTA 6: the official commercial launch date of the base game by Rockstar Games (currently scheduled for November 19, 2026).
- Closed betas, leaked builds, pre-loading, or early access do not count: the game must be commercially available for the general public to play.
- Digital-only would count.
- A regional-only or single-country release would not be sufficient: the game should be widely available across the world, although it need not be available everywhere.
- Rihanna album: this must consist predominantly of new material by Rihanna.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? sera-t-il résolu ?
- GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES if Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) is officially released to the public before Rihanna releases her next album.