Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète31 juil. 26, 10:13 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console?
Manifold MarketsWill GTA 7 release before the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsRihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Rihanna release a new original album in 2026?
Futuur#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?
Kalshi#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves to YES if Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) is officially released to the public before Rihanna releases her next album.
- GTA 6: the official commercial launch date of the base game by Rockstar Games (currently scheduled for November 19, 2026).
- Closed betas, leaked builds, pre-loading, or early access do not count: the game must be commercially available for the general public to play.
- Digital-only would count.
- A regional-only or single-country release would not be sufficient: the game should be widely available across the world, although it need not be available everywhere.
- Rihanna album: this must consist predominantly of new material by Rihanna.