Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2026 49%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète2 juin 25, 05:12 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 42,500 million metric tons in 2030?
ForecastExWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 43,500 million metric tons in 2030?
ForecastExWill the AI-based carbon emissions tracking startup reach 100 paying business customers by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first year in which global carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from fossil fuels and industry decrease compared to the previous year.
- If no such decrease occurs by the end of 2029, the market will resolve to "the named outcome." The primary source for determining annual CO₂ emissions will be the Global Carbon Project's annual reports, which provide comprehensive and widely recognized data on global emissions.
- These reports, detailing emissions data for the preceding year, are typically published in an initial form in November or December of each year followed by a revised version a few months later.
- For example, the final revised 2024 report, released in March 2025, contains data for the year 2023.
- The most recent report can be accessed here: https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/965/2025/essd-17-965-2025-discussion.html
