Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%En tête parmi 4 options
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+10.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète29 oct. 24, 23:49 UTC1 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones.
- If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
- I will not bet in this market.
