Crypto: "Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high above $100,000 in 2026?"
BitcoinQuarterlyCryptoPlateformes d'échangeCoinbaseBinance2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
21 août 26, 05:25 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Bitcoin (BTC) achieves a new all-time high (ATH) at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- To achieve a new all-time high, Bitcoin's price must exceed its previous record of $126,198.07 (established on October 6, 2025).
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the BTC/USD price reported by major tracking sites such as CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap, or major spot exchanges (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) via TradingView.
- Clarification on the $100,000 Threshold: Because the existing ATH of $126,198.07 is already above $100,000, any new ATH set in 2026 will mathematically satisfy the "above $100,000" condition.
- If Bitcoin trades above $100,000 in 2026 but does not break its previous ATH of $126,198.07, this market will resolve to NO.