Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré
Prévision communautaire actuelle
At least 350 steps 76.4%
En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète
21 août 25, 20:02 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Résultat24hProbabilité
Règles
If Cooper Lutkenhaus breaks David Rudisha's 800m World Record time of 1:40.91 before 2030, how many steps will he take in the race?
The number of steps will include the first step that touches or crosses the finish line.
This question will resolve N/A if Lutkenhaus does not run faster than 1:40.91 before 2030.
If he runs faster multiple times, it will resolve to his step count in his first race in which he runs faster than Rudisha's 1:40.91.
If he runs faster than 1:40.91, but does not get the world record because someone else in the race runs even faster, the question will still resolve to his step count in that race.
Lutkenhaus' step counts from his last three 800m PRs:
Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Cooper Lutkenhaus's step count in World Record 800m race if he breaks WR by 2030? ?
Manifold Markets cote At least 350 steps à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Cooper Lutkenhaus's step count in World Record 800m race if he breaks WR by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
Cooper Lutkenhaus's step count in World Record 800m race if he breaks WR by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
Comment Cooper Lutkenhaus's step count in World Record 800m race if he breaks WR by 2030? est-il réglé ?
Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If Cooper Lutkenhaus breaks David Rudisha's 800m World Record time of 1:40.91 before 2030, how many steps will he take in the race?