Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.4%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète20 oct. 25, 10:03 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
"expectations" by Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)
KalshiCharli XCX scores a billboard #1 single in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Housewife" by Tate McRae · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)
Kalshi#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 24, 2026?
KalshiWill Housewife by Tate McRae debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chappell Roan achieves at least one #1 single on the Billboard Hot 100 chart between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart archives.
- Chappell Roan is an American singer-songwriter who gained significant mainstream attention in 2024 with her debut album, The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess, released in late 2023.
- She is known for her pop sound and theatrical performances.
- Her song "Good Luck, Babe!" became her first entry on the Billboard Hot 100, reaching a peak position of #10 as of October 2024.