Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 00:52 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExFlorida Governor Election Winner
PolymarketFlorida Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWill David Jolly become Florida's next governor?
Manifold MarketsWho Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor?
Manifold MarketsWill Jack Ciattarelli be the GOP Nominee for governor of New Jersey in 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Byron Donalds will be the GOP nominee for governor of Florida" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
Marchés ouverts
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.