Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 janv. 26, 00:52 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExFlorida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win?
KalshiFlorida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percent
KalshiMiami-Dade County, Florida: Byron Donalds vote percent
KalshiFlorida Governor Election Winner
PolymarketFlorida Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketRègles
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Byron Donalds will be the GOP nominee for governor of Florida" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.