By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
CommoditiesOne-OffChina3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète26 nov. 25, 05:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Use OECD Steel Outlook 2025 and its successors:
- Let CAP_2026 be the OECD estimate of world crude steel capacity for 2026.
- YES if CAP_2026 ≥ 2,600 mmt/y, otherwise NO.
- OECD puts 2023 capacity at ~2,498.6 mmt, with +165 mmt (6.7%) planned additions 2025-27.
- If most projects go ahead and retirements are modest, 2026 lands around 2.6–2.62 Gt; if cancellations/closures bite harder, it could stay in the 2.5x range.
- So 2,600 mmt is basically “do we actually realise most of the pipeline by 2026?”.
Marchés ouverts
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 441,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 377,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 résultats de plus
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- 161 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,1 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
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+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 100,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,7 k €
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+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Use OECD Steel Outlook 2025 and its successors: