By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined?
Business & CorporateOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.3%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète23 nov. 22, 18:38 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla be the most valuable US company by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn Jan 2027, it will be standard practise for non-AI-building tech companies to finetune and train their own models
Manifold MarketsBitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolved based on market cap.
- If the top valuable company is a tech company, it needs to be more valuable than the next 5 most valuable tech companies.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolved based on market cap.