By 2026, will crude steel production outside China be at least 8% higher than in 2024?
Matières premièresOne-OffChine9mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.6%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète26 nov. 25, 05:17 UTC11 août 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsChina's crude steel production in 2027 at least 5% lower than in 2024?
Manifold MarketsGlobal iron + steel slag intensity ≥ 0.31 tonnes per tonne of crude steel in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be steel production on the moon before 2063 ?
Manifold MarketsRen Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date?
PolymarketWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
PolymarketRègles
From worldsteel country breakdowns:
- Let WORLD_2024, CHINA_2024, WORLD_2026, CHINA_2026 be crude steel totals in 2024 and 2026.
- Define EXCHINA_2024 = WORLD_2024 − CHINA_2024; EXCHINA_2026 = WORLD_2026 − CHINA_2026.
- YES if EXCHINA_2026 / EXCHINA_2024 ≥ 1.08, otherwise NO.
- I'll search for current information about global crude steel production to provide context for this market.#### Resolution criteria
- Total world crude steel production was 1,882.6 Mt in 2024.
