Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour At the end of 2028, will the consensus of major news sources be that Minicircle is/was a fraud? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 87.1% au 26 octobre 2026.

At the end of 2028, will the consensus of major news sources be that Minicircle is/was a fraud?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 87.1%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 heures

Obsolète

6 févr. 24, 03:21 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Minicircle is currently running various trials of experimental gene therapies from the charter city of Prospera in Honduras.

This question asks whether, by 12/31/2028, there will be a consensus of major news and reference sources that these therapies are fraudulent-- not merely tried and proved ineffective, but marketed under false pretenses, a la Theranos.
If there has been no major news reporting on the legitimacy or lack thereof of these therapies by 12/31/2028, this question resolves N/A.