Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.2%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète17 sept. 25, 01:32 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI creates more jobs than it eliminates worldwide by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a fully Al-generated song enter the Top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2028?
Manifold Markets"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
Kalshi#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
Kalshi"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026)
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if AI, by itself, without any creative input from a human (human assistance is allowed for technical tasks (mixing, mastering, uploading) and for prompting or guiding the AI), creates a song that reaches the top 10 in Billboard Hot 100 by 2028.
- This resolves to reputable sources.
