Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
38.9 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection6hManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle3-6 points behind 58.9%+38.9ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+38.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète2 nov. 26, 10:06 UTC4 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?
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ForecastExWill Jocelyn Benson become the 50th governor of the state of Michigan ?
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PolymarketRègles
The 2026 Michigan general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Abdul El-Sayed is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Michigan, and Jocelyn Benson is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Michigan.
- This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Abdul El-Sayed’s vote share in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election falls below Jocelyn Benson’s vote share in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
- If El-Sayed’s vote share exceeds Benson’s, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding.
- For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.
