1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030 ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 97% au 31 octobre 2026.

Quand 1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?

1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.

Comment 1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030 est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : One of the 2023 fellows will have founded a company with valuation >1B by 2030

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POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+0.5pt55.1%
• Anthropic-0.2pt44.9%
• ByteDance0%

+9 résultats de plus

Volume total

6,3 M €

Volume 24h

207,3 k €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt30.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt21.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.6pt15.5%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Largest Company end of December 2026?

• NVIDIA+1.5pt55%
• Apple+0.6pt44%
• Alphabet+0.1pt1%

+5 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

• Above $200,00097.5%
• Above $225,000-5.0pt93%
• Above $250,000-4.0pt

KALSHI

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

• No75.5%
• Yes+1.0pt24.5%

Volume total

1,8 M €

Volume 24h

40,6 k €

POLYMARKET

1win FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $30M+4.5pt91%
• $45M+15.5pt80%
• $70M+2.0pt48%

+2 résultats de plus

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