Ce marché s'est résolu: No (67.4%)
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Provenance du règlement
- Résultat en vigueur
- Non
- Enregistré
- 22 juil. 2026, 20:14
- Observations
- 1
- Révisions
- 0
- Méthode
- resolution_watch
Probabilité implicite actuelleNon 67.3%
Qualite du marche
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
6,9 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 jours
Obsolète21 juil. 26, 20:0022 juil. 26, 20:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes32.7%
No67.4%
32.7%
67.3%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global71% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 97% | — | 12,1 k € | 4,6 k € | il y a 4 jours | Ouvrir → |
 LimitlessCette page | Faible | 67% | — | 6,9 k € | 0 € | il y a 4 jours |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
Fermés
Résolu
Non (97%)
97%
3%
36 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenne
Volume total12,1 k €
Volume 24h12,1 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on July 22, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on July 21, 2026 was $748.41850.
Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.
- In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Actualités Associées
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on July 22, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on July 21, 2026 was $748.41850.
Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.
- In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.