LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Below 4.50% 83.5%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
7 sept. 26, 11:09 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Below 4.35% · Below 4.40% · Below 4.00% · Below 4.25% · Below 4.45% · Below 4.20% · Below 4.10% · Below 4.30% · Below 4.50%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Below 4.50% est de 84%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 1 point de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Below 4.50% 84% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- 751,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 747,1 k €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 971,5 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
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+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 923,6 k €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
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- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 résultats de plus
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? ?
- Limitless cote Below 4.50% à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Limitless règle ce marché comme suit : Below 4.35% · Below 4.40% · Below 4.00% · Below 4.25% · Below 4.45% · Below 4.20% · Below 4.10% · Below 4.30% · Below 4.50%. <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Où How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.