KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Runner-Up (98%)
Résolu: 19 juil. 2026, 22:15
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Runner-Up
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
58%
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 19 juil. 2026, 22:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Provenance du règlement
- Résultat en vigueur
- Runner-Up
- Enregistré
- 19 juil. 2026, 22:32
- Observations
- 1
- Révisions
- 0
- Méthode
- resolution_watch
Probabilité implicite actuelleRunner-Up 94.2%+40.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
491,6 k €
Liquidité
814,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 jours
Obsolète8 mai 26, 0:0027 juil. 26, 2:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Runner-Up98%
Outright Winner1%
1%
1%
94.2%
1%
1%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Runner-Up
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 98% | — | 491,6 k € | 814,5 k € | il y a 7 jours | |
 Polymarket88% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 45,4 k € | 0 € | il y a 6 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
World Cup: Argentina Stage of Elimination
40.8 ptsFermés
Résolu
Final (100%)
+40.5pt100%
0%
-0.3pt0%
+5 résultats de plus
30 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total522,9 k €
Volume 24h45,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Argentina is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$4.2k44.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes-8 j
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes-8 j$1.1k42.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes-8 j
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes-8 j$2.4k42.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes-10 j
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes-10 j$1.2k41.1%POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu8635-10 j
POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu8635-10 j$2.6k75.0%KALSHIQuarterfinals — No-19 j
KALSHIQuarterfinals — No-19 jTendance du volume
$559.6k2 juil.18j de données19 juil.
Marchés Associés
2027 FIFA Women's World Cup Champion
616,9 €Brazil: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which player will score the winning goal in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? [ADD ANSWERS]
364,4 €Lionel Messi: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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109,8 €Portugal: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhere will the 2038 FIFA World Cup be hosted (any option that hosts at least one match will resolve YES)?
79,3 €United States: 26%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will host the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup?
41,4 €Mexico: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Messi to play for Argentina again after the 2026 WC by Dec 31, 2026
0 €Oui: 50%
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If Argentina is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.