KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Rodri (2%)
Résolu: 19 juil. 2026, 22:41
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Rodri
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
6%
SurpriseAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 19 juil. 2026, 22:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Provenance du règlement
- Résultat en vigueur
- Rodri
- Enregistré
- 19 juil. 2026, 22:49
- Observations
- 1
- Révisions
- 0
- Méthode
- resolution_watch
Probabilité implicite actuelleLionel Messi 93%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 67 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,5 M €
Liquidité
5,8 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 jours
Obsolète12 mai 26, 22:0031 juil. 26, 14:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Harry Kane6%
Michael Olise4%
Kylian Mbappe8%
Lionel Messi93%
Lamine Yamal1%
Erling Haaland14%
Jude Bellingham30%
Mikel Oyarzabal3%
Tie/Co-Winners1%
Rodri1%
8%
93%
2%
1%
1%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Lionel Messi
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 93% | — | 3,5 M € | 5,8 M € | il y a 8 jours | |
 Polymarket93% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 0% | — | 1,3 M € | 0 € | il y a 7 jours | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless92% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 1% | — | 17,8 € | 0 € | il y a 7 jours | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets93% de correspondance · lié | — | 0% | — | — | — | il y a 7 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Ball (MVP)
Fermés
Résolu
Rodri (99.2%)
+91.0pt99.2%
-2.9pt0.2%
-0.6pt0.1%
+7 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire44 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
90.5 ptsFermés
Résolu
Rodri (100%)
+94.6pt100%
-2.2pt0%
-1.9pt0%
+38 résultats de plus
35 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total15,1 M €
Volume 24h1,3 M €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
Fermés
50.4%
50%
50%
+7 résultats de plus
7 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total1,5 k €
Volume 24h17,8 €
LIMITLESSRègles
If Harry Kane wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Golden Ball is awarded to the player recognized by FIFA as the best overall player of the tournament.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Lamine Yamal wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yesubergoy-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yesubergoy-8 j$4.2k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesGTG791-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesGTG791-8 j$3.2k28.0%POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBenymokambo-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBenymokambo-8 j$1.4k40.0%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesYawning-Chicken-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesYawning-Chicken-8 j$1.5k99.0%KALSHIRodri — No-8 j
KALSHIRodri — No-8 j$3.5k96.0%KALSHILionel Messi — Yes-8 j
KALSHILionel Messi — Yes-8 j$5.3k96.6%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBLAHBLAHBLAH-298-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — YesBLAHBLAHBLAH-298-8 j$2.8k98.0%KALSHIRodri — No-8 j
KALSHIRodri — No-8 jTendance du volume
$4.0M2 juil.18j de données19 juil.
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If Harry Kane wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Golden Ball is awarded to the player recognized by FIFA as the best overall player of the tournament.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Lamine Yamal wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.