KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 27 oct. 2026, 11:23 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 64% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
At least 64% 97%En tête parmi 11 options
At least 64% 97%Qualité du marché
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
17,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 64%Écart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 sept. 26, 00:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 64%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Harris County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiWashtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiGwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiFulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiCollin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiPhiladelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 73% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 72%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 73%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 73% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 74%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 75% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 76%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 78%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
