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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?

Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?

0.1% (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffDivertissementMusicLatin America
KalshiKalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Ce marché s'est résolu: Nicolás Maduro (99%)

Résolu: 1 juin 2026, 14:54

Résultat Gagnant

Nicolás Maduro

À 7 jours

—

À 24 heures

—

Probabilité implicite actuelle
2+ people
2+ people 0%-0.1%
En tête parmi 15 options
Qualite du marche

56 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

263,2 €

Liquidité

4,2 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

- / 0.1%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 11 jours

Obsolète
11 janv. 26, 15:001 juin 26, 13:59

Chronologie des Probabilités

Nicolás Maduro99%
Delcy Rodríguez0%
0%25%50%75%100%30 mai31 mai1 juin
Résultat24hProbabilité
Nicolás Maduro
Nicolás Maduro
99%
Edmundo González
Edmundo González
-1.5%
1%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
-1.5%
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
Vladimir Padrino López
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Juan Guaidó
Juan Guaidó
1%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If only Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:
  • only Delcy Rodríguez has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is actively serving as the head of state of Venezuela with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role:
  • Nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective Appointed with an effective date after Jun 1, 2026 Previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 1, 2026 Serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity Named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed Holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself
  • Clarification (04/15/26): To help clarify this market, if the Expiration Date were today at this time, this market would resolve Yes to Nicolás Maduro and No to all other strikes.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

If only Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:
  • only Delcy Rodríguez has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is actively serving as the head of state of Venezuela with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role:
  • Nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective Appointed with an effective date after Jun 1, 2026 Previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 1, 2026 Serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity Named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed Holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself
  • Clarification (04/15/26): To help clarify this market, if the Expiration Date were today at this time, this market would resolve Yes to Nicolás Maduro and No to all other strikes.