KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle4.41% or above 93%En tête parmi 15 options
Qualite du marche
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
40,1 k €
Liquidité
31 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
27 juil. 26, 19:3028 juil. 26, 19:30
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
4.65% or above1%
Grosses transactions
$2.4k99.0%KALSHI4.65% or above — No-2 h
KALSHI4.65% or above — No-2 hTendance du volume
$45.6k27 juil.2j de données28 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 28, 2026?
33,7 k €4.56% or above: 92%KALSHI
KALSHI
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 28, 2026?
30,3 k €4.21% or above: 94%KALSHI
KALSHI
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 28, 2026?
28,5 k €4.53% or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,7 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
100,3 €4.5%: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
87,9 €Oui: 10%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Metaplanet’s brokerage deal ‘badly undersells’ plans for bitcoin-backed ‘Bitbonds,’ Benchmark saysThe Block
Bitcoin falls under $64K as surging US bond yields boost Fed rate-hike oddsCointelegraph
Hong Kong to Reopen RMB Bonds with Tender on July 23, 2026Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segmentBlockchain.News
UK picks HSBC Orion platform for first digital sovereign bondCrypto News
UK plans first G7 digital sovereign bond by early 2027CoindeskRègles
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S.
- Treasury is above 4.40% on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 28, 2026, or one week following Jul 28, 2026.
- Treasury is above 4.42% on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury is above 4.46% on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.