KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Poland / Polish 90%En tête parmi 42 options
Poland / Polish 90%Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
251,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
251,1 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleÉcart
64.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If Poland / Polish, or a plural or possessive form of Poland / Polish, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPBSthe President of the United StatesCBSNBCBloombergAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Times
- Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Poland / Polish
- If Poland / Polish, or a plural or possessive form of Poland / Polish, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- United Kingdom / British
- If United Kingdom / British, or a plural or possessive form of United Kingdom / British, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kuwait / Kuwaiti
- If Kuwait / Kuwaiti, or a plural or possessive form of Kuwait / Kuwaiti, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Australia / Australian
- If Australia / Australian, or a plural or possessive form of Australia / Australian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sudan / Sudanese
- If Sudan / Sudanese, or a plural or possessive form of Sudan / Sudanese, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Belgium / Belgian
- If Belgium / Belgian, or a plural or possessive form of Belgium / Belgian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Paraguay / Paraguayan
- If Paraguay / Paraguayan, or a plural or possessive form of Paraguay / Paraguayan, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Canada / Canadian
- If Canada / Canadian, or a plural or possessive form of Canada / Canadian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Japan / Japanese
- If Japan / Japanese, or a plural or possessive form of Japan / Japanese, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian
- If Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian, or a plural or possessive form of Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- India / Indian
- If India / Indian, or a plural or possessive form of India / Indian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mexico / Mexican
- If Mexico / Mexican, or a plural or possessive form of Mexico / Mexican, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- France / French
- If France / French, or a plural or possessive form of France / French, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brazil / Brazilian
- If Brazil / Brazilian, or a plural or possessive form of Brazil / Brazilian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Italy / Italian
- If Italy / Italian, or a plural or possessive form of Italy / Italian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Germany / German
- If Germany / German, or a plural or possessive form of Germany / German, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- UAE / United Arab Emirates
- If UAE / United Arab Emirates, or a plural or possessive form of UAE / United Arab Emirates, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qatar / Qatari
- If Qatar / Qatari, or a plural or possessive form of Qatar / Qatari, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Korea / South Korean
- If South Korea / South Korean, or a plural or possessive form of South Korea / South Korean, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Spain / Spanish
- If Spain / Spanish, or a plural or possessive form of Spain / Spanish, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taiwan / Taiwanese
- If Taiwan / Taiwanese, or a plural or possessive form of Taiwan / Taiwanese, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Colombia / Colombian
- If Colombia / Colombian, or a plural or possessive form of Colombia / Colombian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Turkey / Turkish
- If Turkey / Turkish, or a plural or possessive form of Turkey / Turkish, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Egypt / Egyptian
- If Egypt / Egyptian, or a plural or possessive form of Egypt / Egyptian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- North Korea / North Korean
- If North Korea / North Korean, or a plural or possessive form of North Korea / North Korean, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Panama / Panamanian
- If Panama / Panamanian, or a plural or possessive form of Panama / Panamanian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Denmark / Danish
- If Denmark / Danish, or a plural or possessive form of Denmark / Danish, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Switzerland / Swiss
- If Switzerland / Swiss, or a plural or possessive form of Switzerland / Swiss, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hungary / Hungarian
- If Hungary / Hungarian, or a plural or possessive form of Hungary / Hungarian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Africa / South African
- If South Africa / South African, or a plural or possessive form of South Africa / South African, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Argentina / Argentinian
- If Argentina / Argentinian, or a plural or possessive form of Argentina / Argentinian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Norway / Norwegian
- If Norway / Norwegian, or a plural or possessive form of Norway / Norwegian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afghanistan / Afghan
- If Afghanistan / Afghan, or a plural or possessive form of Afghanistan / Afghan, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bahrain / Bahraini
- If Bahrain / Bahraini, or a plural or possessive form of Bahrain / Bahraini, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Somalia / Somali
- If Somalia / Somali, or a plural or possessive form of Somalia / Somali, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iceland / Icelandic
- If Iceland / Icelandic, or a plural or possessive form of Iceland / Icelandic, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ireland / Irish
- If Ireland / Irish, or a plural or possessive form of Ireland / Irish, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jamaica / Jamaican
- If Jamaica / Jamaican, or a plural or possessive form of Jamaica / Jamaican, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Congo / Congolese
- If Congo / Congolese, or a plural or possessive form of Congo / Congolese, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Palestine / Palestinian
- If Palestine / Palestinian, or a plural or possessive form of Palestine / Palestinian, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yemen / Yemeni
- If Yemen / Yemeni, or a plural or possessive form of Yemen / Yemeni, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cuba / Cuban
- If Cuba / Cuban, or a plural or possessive form of Cuba / Cuban, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.