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What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

5.0% (24h)1j
KalshiKalshiRésidents américains uniquementKYC requis2% de frais
Qualite du marche 31Faible qualiteMarché peu profond545 pt de divergence

Alertes

Suivez ce marche pour creer des alertes.

Aide à la décision

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Event does not qualify 8%

Qualite du marche

31 / 100

Faible qualite
Achat / Vente

8.0% / 9.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes

Dernière mise à jour: 5 avr., 22:41

Se resout

7 avr. 2026, 14:00

Volume 24h

697,2 €

Liquidité

1,2 k €

Spread

12.5%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-

Faible liquiditéMarché peu profondProche de la resolution
Début 1 avr. 2026, 02:00Fin 7 avr. 2026, 14:00

Tendances

Aucune donnée de graphique disponible.
Résultat24hProbabilité
Event does not qualify
Event does not qualify
+5.0%8%
Iran
Iran
+4.0%66%
Melania
Melania
-5.0%64%
Jesus
Jesus
-5.0%72%
Ballroom
Ballroom
-3.0%55%
Democrat
Democrat
+7.0%36%
Pope
Pope
+6.0%15%
Egg
Egg
+1.0%85%
Biden
Biden
0.0%25%
Transgender
Transgender
-1.0%8%
Movie Star
Movie Star
+3.0%34%
Supreme Court
Supreme Court
+3.0%11%
Hottest
Hottest
-7.0%27%
Inflation
Inflation
-1.0%17%
Shutdown / Shut Down
Shutdown / Shut Down
-1.0%21%
November 5
November 5
+4.0%11%
NASA / Moon
NASA / Moon
-53%
Settle / Deal
Settle / Deal
-54%
Rescue / Rescued
Rescue / Rescued
-68%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
-61%
Hormuz
Hormuz
-38%
Polymarket

Également disponible sur Polymarket

545 pt de divergence
KalshiKalshi
Dernière mise à jour: il y a 15 minutes
Iran
66%
Ballroom
55%
Movie Star
34%
Egg
85%
Vol

1,5 k €

Vol 24h

697,2 €

Liq

1,2 k €

Spread: Spread largeLiquidité: Faible liquidité
Résidents américains uniquementKYC requis2% de fraisRèglement en USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Dernière mise à jour: il y a 26 minutes
Iran
▲ +2pt68%
Ballroom
▲ +1pt56%
Movie Star
▼ 2pt32%
Egg
▼ 85pt-
Vol

71,8 k €

Vol 24h

24,1 k €

Liq

22 k €

Spread: Spread largeLiquidité: Liquidité moyenne
Non disponible aux États-UnisSans KYC2% de fraisRèglement en USDC
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Règles

If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Video of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
  • Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
  • If Donald Trump says Biden as part of The White House Easter Egg Roll, then the market resolves to Yes.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro