KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
38.4% 27.4%En tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
38.4% 27.4%Qualité du marché
76 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
24,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
20,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
7 oct. 26, 14:01 UTC8 oct. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Règles
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 38.4%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.3%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 38.2%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.2%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 38.8%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.8%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.7%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
