KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Trump (99%)
Résolu: 17 sept. 2026, 01:09
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Trump 99%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
13,3 k €
Liquidité
12,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète16 sept. 26, 01:00 UTC30 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC
Chronologie des Probabilités
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Trump95%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Muslim / Islam99%
AIPAC1%
Tariff1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability99%
Healthcare89%
Billionaire1%
ICE1%
Socialist / Socialism1%
Data Center55%
Event does not qualify2%
Zohran / Mamdani1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExMichigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiWhat will Trump say this week?
KalshiRègles
If Abdul El-Sayed says the named outcome as part of The Weeknight on Sep 16 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the The Weeknight on Sep 16 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Weeknight on Sep 16 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Abdul El-Sayed speaking in an official capacity.
