KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 7 nov. 2026, 17:11 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Between 49 and 55 million · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,6 k €
Intérêt ouvert
6,9 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Between 49 and 55 millionÉcart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard1 sept. 26, 18:00 UTC4 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Between 49 and 55 million
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Alaska Department of Fish and Game
- The relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run. Only ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used. If ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, "projected total catch plus projected total escapement", will be used.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Between 49 and 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 49 million and 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 43 and 48.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 43 million and 48.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 29 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is below 29 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 37 and 42.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 37 million and 42.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 29 and 36.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 29 million and 36.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.