Will it rain in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?

One-Off16h

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui 89%

Qualite du marche

63 / 100

Qualité moyenne

Volume 24h

606,1 €

Liquidité

558,4 €

Faible liquidité

Achat / Vente

88.0% / 89.0%

Spread

1.1%

Spread serré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

3 juil. 26, 14:005 juil. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Yes89%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on July 04, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for July 04, 2026 or July 11, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on July 11, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

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Règles

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on July 04, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for July 04, 2026 or July 11, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on July 11, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

Will it rain in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?

One-Off16h

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui 89%

Qualite du marche

63 / 100

Qualité moyenne

Volume 24h

606,1 €

Liquidité

558,4 €

Faible liquidité

Achat / Vente

88.0% / 89.0%

Spread

1.1%

Spread serré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

3 juil. 26, 14:005 juil. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Yes89%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on July 04, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for July 04, 2026 or July 11, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on July 11, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

Marchés Associés

World Cup Winner

72,8 M €

France: 35%

POLYMARKET

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13,3 M €

Game 2 Winner: 100%

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12,9 M €

Lucas Glover: 25%

KALSHI

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10 M €

New York: 3%

KALSHI

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Canada vs Morocco

Morocco advances: 72%

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,476.07+0.76%

EthereumETH$1,757.67+0.80%

SolanaSOL$81.74+0.38%

XRPXRP$1.14+2.65%

DogecoinDOGE$0.077+1.51%

BNBBNB$571.48+0.72%

Règles

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on July 04, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for July 04, 2026 or July 11, 2026.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on July 11, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.