Probabilité implicite actuelle
Haley Stevens 84%-2.0%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
229,2 €
Liquidité
6,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
84.0% / 86.0%
Spread
2.4%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
16 avr. 26, 14:004 août 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Haley Stevens84%
Marchés Associés
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KALSHI
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KALSHI
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POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
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If Mallory McMorrow finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.