South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)
5.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection12mo
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Darline Graham, ≥3% 53%-5.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
63,1 k €
Liquidité
136,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
17 août 26, 23:1825 août 27, 14:00
Tendances
Règles
If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:South Carolina Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses.
- If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
