Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jul 1, 2026 20%
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,1 €
Liquidité
98,4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
5.0%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
6 juin 26, 2:002 juil. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Before Jul 1, 202620%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?
43.1%13j
-28.5%26%
-43.1%0%
-0.5%0%
61 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total36,9 k €
Volume 24h17,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.