KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Lupita Nyong'o 74%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,1 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
11 août 26, 21:53 UTC31 août 29, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist
KalshiWill Black Panther 3 be delayed?
KalshiAt which MTG Pro Tour will I next register a Constructed Magic deck where Black is a base color?
Manifold MarketsAgent 007 (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurWill manifold markets be referenced in a black mirror episode by EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Marvel
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as any role as an actor in any official performance, showing, or release of Black Panther 3.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Black Panther 3 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in any role as an actor, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Black Panther 3: Cast ?
- Kalshi cote Lupita Nyong'o à 74% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Black Panther 3: Cast sera-t-il résolu ?
- Black Panther 3: Cast doit être résolu le 31 août 2029.
- Comment Black Panther 3: Cast est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.