KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Z.ai 72.7%En tête parmi 20 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
34,8 k €
Liquidité
33,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
21 août 26, 17:001 oct. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Règles
If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe Verge
- Confirmation requires that the named company has itself publicly stated, or its official channels have confirmed, that it built or operates the model listed on OpenRouter as Ox Alpha.
- Relaunching or renaming the same model under the company's own brand counts.
- A company is identified by its corporate identity, not its product brand.
- Independent technical analysis, including tokenizer, benchmark or encoder fingerprinting, does not count however confident, unless the named company itself confirms.
- the named outcome is the outcome if no company is confirmed as described above, or the company so confirmed is not among those named in this event.
Marchés ouverts
ExchangeKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,500 or above+96.0pt99%
- $74,500 or above+82.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+93.0pt99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 M €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- 52,000+0.2pt100%
- 54,000+0.1pt100%
- 56,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+18.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+53.0pt99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.8pt12.1%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+3.7pt11.1%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt11.1%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will ETH get in August?
- Above $2,000.0099%
- Above $2,250.0097%
- Above $2,500.00+36.0pt78%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 386,2 k €
KALSHIXRP price at Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1.33991 or above+85.0pt99%
- $1.29991 or above+77.0pt99%
- $1.03991 or above+5.0pt99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 23?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- How low will BTC get in August?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 27?
- Ethereum above ___ on August 22?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 24?
- SOL price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which company is behind Ox Alpha? ?
- Kalshi cote Z.ai à 73% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Which company is behind Ox Alpha? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which company is behind Ox Alpha? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Which company is behind Ox Alpha? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.