KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 78%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
77.0% / 78.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
18 août 26, 19:00 UTC28 févr. 27, 14:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will New Hampshire home prices rise YoY?
KalshiWill Rhode Island home prices rise YoY?
KalshiWill Nebraska cattle on feed rise YoY?
KalshiBefore Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index
Manifold MarketsWill home prices revert to pre-2020 levels?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRègles
If FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above
Règlement via:Federal Housing Finance Agency
- 423.62, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the Nevada (NV) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset.
- The 423.62 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value.
- Use NV → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nevada home prices rise YoY? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nevada home prices rise YoY? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nevada home prices rise YoY? doit être résolu le 28 février 2027.
- Comment Will Nevada home prices rise YoY? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above