KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleBill Pulte 3%-3.0%En tête parmi 22 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
428,1 €
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
3.3% / 4.0%
Spread
21.2%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
2 juin 26, 14:0520 janv. 29, 15:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Bill Pulte3%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
12.9%6mo
21%
+4.5%19%
-12.9%14%
+48 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total73,3 k €
Volume 24h4,5 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.