KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleJay Clayton 97.1%+0.3ptEn tête parmi 23 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
19 k €
Liquidité
676,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
22 mai 26, 19:3520 janv. 29, 15:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Jay Clayton99%
Comparer les plateformes· Jay Clayton
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 99% | — | 19 k € | 676,3 k € | il y a 14 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active64% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 30,6 k € | 0 € | il y a 45 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
6.2 ptsFermés
Résolu
Other (100%)
100%
-11.4pt0%
-6.3pt0%
+48 résultats de plus
29 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total187,6 k €
Volume 24h30,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$3.0k94.7%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes-16 j
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes-16 j$3.7k94.6%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes-16 j
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes-16 jTendance du volume
$21.6k2 juil.27j de données28 juil.
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If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.