KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 81%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,5 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
18.0% / 20.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
18 août 26, 20:00 UTC30 avr. 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 156,600 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Resolution will sum the 2026 annual-average values for BLS series SMU26000003133610001 and SMU26000003133630001.
- Both are measured in thousands of jobs and are not seasonally adjusted.
- The 156.6-thousand threshold is fixed.
- This definition does not include Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing (NAICS 3362), because BLS does not publish that statewide Michigan CES series separately.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
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- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 81% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY? doit être résolu le 30 avril 2027.
- Comment Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 156,600 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.