KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 95.1%En tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
121,3 €
Liquidité
6,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
16 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsDune: Part Three: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?
KalshiWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?
Polymarket"Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score
FutuurWill Villeneuve's DUNE part 2 receive a higher IMDB rating than DUNE part 1 by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCofficial website or verified social media account of the media distributor in geographystreaming platform for media in geographyfilm studios responsible for the production of mediaNetflixSpotifyIMDbVarietyThe Hollywood ReporterDeadlineEntertainment Weeklythe Associated PressThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
- Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Dune: Part Three be released? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Dune: Part Three be released? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Dune: Part Three be released? doit être résolu le 1 décembre 2026.
- Comment When will Dune: Part Three be released? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.