KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 65%
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
99,6 €
Liquidité
8,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
35.0% / 70.0%
Écart
35.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
3 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Robert Downey Jr. appear in Avengers: Secret Wars?
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film?
KalshiMarvel megamarket
Manifold MarketsWill Kraven be added to Marvel Rivals by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026?
PolymarketMarvel: Actor cast as Miles Morales
KalshiRègles
If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Variety
- Archival footage does not count.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.