KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleAt least 2.0M bpd 54%+4.0%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
696,7 €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
50.0% / 57.0%
Spread
14.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
17 juin 26, 18:0013 juil. 26, 7:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
At least 2.0M bpd54%
Tendance du volume
$7952 juil.7j de données8 juil.
Marchés Associés
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
877,4 k €December 31: 36%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
9,7 k €December 31: 16%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran to agree to end uranium enrichment by ...?
474,2 €December 31: 49%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
April 8, US-IRAN war ceasefire: prop bets
0 €It lasts for exactly 2 weeks: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
53 k €Before September: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
21,3 k €December 31: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Gulf officials weigh US-backed Lebanon–Israel framework as Polymarket Yes slipsBlockchain.News
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%Blockchain.News
US-Iran talks fray as Polymarket puts Dec 31 nuclear deal odds at 45.5%Blockchain.News
Hezbollah rhetoric hits Lebanon recognition odds as Polymarket slips to 21%Blockchain.News
Tehran presses for Hormuz control as Polymarket sees 7.5% odds of normal trafficBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 is at least 1.6M bpd (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is Iran’s crude oil production based on secondary sources, as shown in the OPEC crude oil production table.
- OPEC reports this figure in thousand barrels per day; for purposes of this market, [X] million barrels per day equals [X × 1,000] thousand barrels per day.
- Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent reports will not be considered.
- If the Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 is at least 1.8M bpd (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 is at least 2.0M bpd (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.