KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleMarco 98%En tête parmi 21 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
445,6 €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
15 mai 26, 22:001 déc. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Bertha1%
Tendance du volume
$5073 juil.22j de données27 juil.
Marchés Associés
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
537,1 €Moke: 18%KALSHI
KALSHIWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
0 €Amanda: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
2,4 k €Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
471,2 €Above 12: 38%KALSHI
KALSHI
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
123,4 €<4m: 22%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
70,4 €14–16: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Règles
If a storm named Arthur is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Bertha is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Edouard is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Fay is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.