KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleMarco 98%En tête parmi 21 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
385,1 €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
15 mai 26, 22:001 déc. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Bertha1%
Tendance du volume
$4383 juil.23j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
103,4 €Moke: 18%KALSHI
KALSHIWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
8,5 €Zeke: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
23,2 k €Oui: 2%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
6,7 k €Oui: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
1,8 k €14–16: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
773,7 €Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Règles
If a storm named Arthur is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Bertha is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Edouard is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Fay is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.