KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 1 88%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
327,9 €
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
50.0% / 55.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
15 mai 26, 20:001 déc. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 449%
Tendance du volume
$3732 juil.18j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
471,8 €Above 12: 32%KALSHI
KALSHIHow many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
180,6 €Above 7: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIHow many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
0,1 €Above 1: 61%KALSHI
KALSHI
On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
830,5 €Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
191,3 €Oui: 7%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
154,7 €14–16: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Règles
If more than 1 hurricane of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 2 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 3 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 4 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.