KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Category 1 or above 1%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
390,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
21 août 26, 17:00 UTC2 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If Wilfred reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.
- If Wilfred reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Wilfred reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Wilfred reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Wilfred reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 232,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 186,1 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 66,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6 k €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Hurricane Wilfred category? ?
- Kalshi cote Category 1 or above à 1% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Hurricane Wilfred category? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Hurricane Wilfred category? doit être résolu le 2 décembre 2026.
- Comment Hurricane Wilfred category? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Wilfred reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.