KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic party 88.8%+66.0ptAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
76 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
30,1 k €
Liquidité
18,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
87.0% / 89.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
14 oct. 25, 14:003 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour MO-05 House winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic party à 89% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand MO-05 House winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- MO-05 House winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment MO-05 House winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.