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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

70.0% (24h)
KalshiKalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Ce marché s'est résolu: Above 40 (97%)

Résolu: 27 mai 2026, 13:53

Résultat Gagnant

Above 40

À 7 jours

—

À 24 heures

51%

Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 40
Above 40 97%+70.0%
En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche

63 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

807,1 €

Liquidité

1,3 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

96.0% / 97.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 17 jours

Obsolète
19 mai 26, 14:1024 août 26, 14:00

Chronologie des Probabilités

Above 4097%
Above 3099%
Above 501%
Above 2586%
Above 2098%
Above 1587%
Above 753%
Above 1099%
Above 1003%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%26 mai26 mai27 mai
Résultat24hProbabilité
Above 40
Above 40
+70.0%
97%
Above 30
Above 30
+41.0%
99%
Above 50
Above 50
-8.0%
1%
Above 25
Above 25
+68.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+33.0%
98%
Above 15
Above 15
+4.0%
99%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

125,5 €
Above 30: 31%KalshiKALSHI

Règles

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.