KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 400,000 jobs · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 400,000 jobs 53.5%En tête parmi 7 options
Above 400,000 jobs 53.5%Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
1,9 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 400,000 jobsÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 35 minutes
4 oct. 26, 23:00 UTC8 janv. 27, 13:29 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 400,000 jobs
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many jobs added in October?
PolymarketWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 7,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceed 40,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 8,000 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceed 15,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExUS retail sales in October
KalshiRègles
If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001). The expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies. The measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 400,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 400,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 350,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 350,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 500,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 500,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 450,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 450,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 550,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 550,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 600,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 600,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.