KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle70° or below 46.7%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,2 k €
Liquidité
4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
49.0% / 50.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
27 juil. 26, 14:0029 juil. 26, 8:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
70° or below50%
Comparer les plateformes· 70° or below
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 50% | — | 4,2 k € | 4 k € | il y a 19 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active86% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 40% | — | 8,6 k € | 26,1 k € | il y a 19 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 28?
2.0 pts6h
+3.5pt37%
+7.0pt26.9%
+1.5pt15.7%
+8 résultats de plus
50 • Qualité moyenneSpread inconnuLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total12,5 k €
Volume 24h8,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$4.8k27 juil.2j de données28 juil.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.