Probabilité implicite actuelle
74° to 75° 16%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
8,2 k €
Liquidité
5,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
13 juil. 26, 14:0015 juil. 26, 8:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
74° to 75°16%
Comparer les plateformes· 76° to 77°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global86% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 35% | — | 16,4 k € | 47,6 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Élevée | 26% | — | 8,2 k € | 5,7 k € | il y a 10 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
0.9%8h
+5.0%35%
-1.0%28%
+11.5%23%
+8 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total17,8 k €
Volume 24h16,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$9.4k13 juil.2j de données14 juil.
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 13, 2026?
76,5 k €75° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
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469,1 k €77° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 13, 2026?
158,1 k €82° to 83°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 13, 2026?
102,5 k €Oui: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
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90,2 k €32°C: 89%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
86,1 k €29°C: 44%POLYMARKET
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.