Probabilité implicite actuelle
78° or above 16%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,5 k €
Liquidité
2 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
3.0% / 8.0%
Spread
166.7%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
10 juil. 26, 14:0012 juil. 26, 8:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
78° or above16%
Comparer les plateformes· 74° to 75°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 32% | — | 10,2 k € | 43 k € | il y a 13 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Faible | 31% | — | 2,5 k € | 2 k € | il y a 6 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 11?
5.5%9h
+5.5%32%
+7.5%25%
-5.5%22%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total11,1 k €
Volume 24h10,2 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 11, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$2.9k10 juil.2j de données11 juil.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 11, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.