Probabilité implicite actuelle
81° to 82° 42.2%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
22,6 k €
Liquidité
16,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
40.0% / 41.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
26 juil. 26, 14:0028 juil. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
83° to 84°40%
Comparer les plateformes· 81° to 82°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 43% | — | 22,6 k € | 16,5 k € | il y a 25 minutes | |
 Polymarket84% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 43% | — | 18,5 k € | 33,2 k € | il y a 5 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Gemini93% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 38% | — | 1,2 k € | 0 € | il y a 25 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Gemini
Highest temperature in NYC on July 27, 2026?
19h
37.5%
35%
10%
+2 résultats de plus
32 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total1,2 k €
Volume 24h1,2 k €
GEMINIÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 27?
10.0 pts3h
+10.0pt40.6%
+0.5pt33%
+3.0pt18.9%
+8 résultats de plus
77 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total19,9 k €
Volume 24h18,5 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$25.7k26 juil.2j de données27 juil.
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.