Probabilité implicite actuelle
82° or below 14%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
4,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
13.0% / 14.0%
Spread
7.7%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
16 juil. 26, 14:0018 juil. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
82° or below14%
Comparer les plateformes· 85° to 86°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 39% | — | 21,4 k € | 61,2 k € | il y a 19 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Faible | 28% | — | 0 € | 4,2 k € | il y a 19 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 17?
15h
39%
28%
18%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total21,4 k €
Volume 24h21,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 17, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 83°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 17, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 83-84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 17, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 83°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 17, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 83-84°, then the market resolves to Yes.